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Aztecs vs Shu

Aztecs win 51% (48 to 54) (even); Shu, 49%.

134 1v1 games between the two civs. How Shu do against everyone

By map

MapAztecs winGames
All maps51% (48 to 54) · even134
Arabia50% (47 to 53) · even21
Arena50% (47 to 53) · even9
Black Forest51% (48 to 55) · even13
Nomad48% (43 to 54) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

Aztecs win more in long games: 39% at under 20 min, 52% at 55 min or more.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min17 games20 to 30 min16 games30 to 40 min29 games40 to 55 min51 games55 min or more21 games
under 20 min: Aztecs win 39% (35 to 43), 17 games20 to 30 min: Aztecs win 43% (39 to 47), 16 games30 to 40 min: Aztecs win 52% (48 to 56) (even), 29 games40 to 55 min: Aztecs win 56% (52 to 61), 51 games55 min or more: Aztecs win 52% (48 to 56) (even), 21 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.