AoE2 BO Coach
…

Bengalis vs Spanish

Bengalis win 48% (45 to 51) (even); Spanish, 52%.

359 1v1 games between the two civs. How Spanish do against everyone

By map

MapBengalis winGames
All maps48% (45 to 51) · even359
Arabia49% (45 to 52) · even80
Arena52% (48 to 55) · even33
Black Forest50% (46 to 54) · even22
Nomad48% (45 to 51) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

Bengalis win more in long games: 43% at under 20 min, 54% at 55 min or more.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min39 games20 to 30 min48 games30 to 40 min64 games40 to 55 min127 games55 min or more81 games
under 20 min: Bengalis win 43% (38 to 48), 39 games20 to 30 min: Bengalis win 38% (34 to 41), 48 games30 to 40 min: Bengalis win 48% (45 to 52) (even), 64 games40 to 55 min: Bengalis win 50% (46 to 53) (even), 127 games55 min or more: Bengalis win 54% (51 to 57), 81 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.