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Spanish: how they do against each civ

The chance of Spanish winning against each rival at equal Elo, in real ranked games, with a likely range and how many games are behind it. Tap a rival to see the matchup by map and by game length.

In 1v1

RivalSpanish winGames
Koreans54% (52 to 56)160
Saracens54% (51 to 56)373
Maya53% (51 to 56)171
Goths52% (49 to 56) · even246
Mapuche52% (50 to 55) · even93
Bengalis52% (50 to 55) · even359
Dravidians52% (50 to 55) · even234
Japanese52% (50 to 55) · even505
Poles52% (50 to 54) · even204
Aztecs52% (50 to 53)902
Vikings52% (50 to 53) · even375
Burgundians51% (49 to 54) · even243
Persians51% (49 to 54) · even140
Mongols51% (49 to 54) · even308
Bohemians51% (49 to 53) · even531
Ethiopians51% (48 to 54) · even232
Shu51% (47 to 55) · even90
Burmese51% (49 to 53) · even305
Cumans51% (49 to 53) · even344
Huns51% (48 to 54) · even285
Malay51% (49 to 53) · even227
Hindustanis51% (48 to 53) · even335
Muisca51% (48 to 53) · even104
Wu51% (48 to 53) · even298
Byzantines50% (48 to 53) · even397
Malians50% (48 to 53) · even463
Turks50% (48 to 52) · even245
Franks50% (47 to 53) · even130
Vietnamese50% (48 to 52) · even1,073
Berbers50% (48 to 52) · even831
Magyars50% (48 to 52) · even244
Jurchens50% (47 to 52) · even180
Romans49% (48 to 51) · even738
Tupi49% (47 to 52) · even98
Sicilians49% (47 to 52) · even271
Tatars49% (47 to 52) · even287
Bulgarians49% (47 to 52) · even643
Georgians49% (47 to 52) · even224
Britons49% (46 to 52) · even269
Khitans49% (47 to 51) · even115
Celts49% (47 to 51) · even144
Wei49% (46 to 52) · even144
Khmer49% (46 to 51) · even198
Teutons49% (46 to 51) · even282
Portuguese49% (46 to 51) · even524
Slavs49% (46 to 51) · even524
Italians48% (45 to 51) · even417
Armenians48% (45 to 50) · even246
Gurjaras48% (45 to 50)337
Inca48% (44 to 51) · even321
Chinese48% (45 to 50) · even383
Lithuanians46% (44 to 49)338

In team games

The chance of a team with Spanish instead of an average civ, at equal Elo. Team games count appearances of the civ (each player), not games.

MapWinAppearances
All maps50% (49 to 51) · even21,499
Arabia50% (49 to 51) · even2,196
Arena50% (49 to 51) · even1,785
Black Forest50% (49 to 51) · even1,201
Nomad50% (49 to 52) · even1,008

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.