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Spanish vs Vikings

Spanish win 52% (50 to 53) (even); Vikings, 48%.

375 1v1 games between the two civs. How Vikings do against everyone

By map

MapSpanish winGames
All maps52% (50 to 53) · even375
Arabia51% (48 to 54) · even101
Arena52% (47 to 56) · even20
Black Forest52% (49 to 55) · even13
Nomad53% (48 to 57) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

Spanish win more in short games: 60% at under 20 min, 44% at 55 min or more.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min31 games20 to 30 min51 games30 to 40 min77 games40 to 55 min150 games55 min or more66 games
under 20 min: Spanish win 60% (55 to 65), 31 games20 to 30 min: Spanish win 63% (60 to 66), 51 games30 to 40 min: Spanish win 53% (50 to 56) (even), 77 games40 to 55 min: Spanish win 47% (44 to 50) (even), 150 games55 min or more: Spanish win 44% (41 to 47), 66 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.