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Poles vs Spanish

Poles win 48% (46 to 50) (even); Spanish, 52%.

204 1v1 games between the two civs. How Spanish do against everyone

By map

MapPoles winGames
All maps48% (46 to 50) · even204
Arabia49% (46 to 52) · even51
Arena48% (44 to 52) · even12
Black Forest50% (46 to 54) · even12
Nomad47% (43 to 51) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

Poles win more in long games: 42% at under 20 min, 52% at 55 min or more.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min7 games20 to 30 min32 games30 to 40 min41 games40 to 55 min75 games55 min or more49 games
under 20 min: Poles win 42% (38 to 46), 7 games20 to 30 min: Poles win 38% (34 to 42), 32 games30 to 40 min: Poles win 49% (46 to 51) (even), 41 games40 to 55 min: Poles win 51% (48 to 55) (even), 75 games55 min or more: Poles win 52% (48 to 56) (even), 49 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.