AoE2 BO Coach
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Poles: how they do against each civ

The chance of Poles winning against each rival at equal Elo, in real ranked games, with a likely range and how many games are behind it. Tap a rival to see the matchup by map and by game length.

In 1v1

RivalPoles winGames
Saracens54% (51 to 57)183
Maya53% (50 to 57) · even59
Koreans53% (50 to 56)70
Japanese53% (50 to 55)232
Romans52% (49 to 54) · even278
Ethiopians51% (49 to 54) · even112
Mongols51% (48 to 54) · even155
Aztecs51% (49 to 53) · even353
Goths51% (48 to 53) · even104
Portuguese51% (49 to 53) · even234
Mapuche51% (48 to 53) · even42
Britons51% (47 to 54) · even84
Hindustanis50% (48 to 53) · even110
Malians50% (48 to 53) · even173
Burgundians50% (48 to 53) · even107
Dravidians50% (48 to 52) · even86
Muisca50% (47 to 53) · even43
Shu50% (47 to 53) · even43
Cumans50% (47 to 53) · even155
Khitans50% (47 to 53) · even45
Byzantines50% (47 to 52) · even192
Persians50% (47 to 53) · even65
Tatars50% (48 to 52) · even122
Wu50% (47 to 52) · even107
Burmese50% (47 to 52) · even135
Vikings49% (48 to 51) · even155
Franks49% (47 to 52) · even70
Teutons49% (46 to 52) · even156
Turks49% (46 to 52) · even113
Bulgarians49% (47 to 51) · even259
Malay49% (46 to 51) · even104
Huns49% (47 to 51) · even168
Sicilians49% (45 to 52) · even118
Wei49% (46 to 51) · even71
Celts48% (45 to 52) · even81
Berbers48% (46 to 50) · even299
Inca48% (46 to 51) · even125
Tupi48% (46 to 51) · even41
Vietnamese48% (47 to 50) · even408
Gurjaras48% (46 to 51) · even153
Magyars48% (46 to 50) · even118
Bengalis48% (45 to 50) · even186
Khmer48% (46 to 50) · even98
Spanish48% (46 to 50) · even204
Jurchens48% (45 to 50) · even61
Italians47% (44 to 50)183
Slavs47% (44 to 49)197
Bohemians46% (44 to 49)206
Georgians46% (44 to 49)85
Chinese46% (44 to 49)121
Armenians46% (44 to 48)104
Lithuanians44% (41 to 47)134

In team games

The chance of a team with Poles instead of an average civ, at equal Elo. Team games count appearances of the civ (each player), not games.

MapWinAppearances
All maps51% (50 to 51) · even11,977
Arabia51% (50 to 52) · even825
Arena51% (50 to 52) · even1,315
Black Forest51% (50 to 52) · even941
Nomad51% (50 to 51) · even639

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.