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Poles vs Slavs

Poles win 47% (44 to 49); Slavs, 53%.

197 1v1 games between the two civs. How Slavs do against everyone

By map

MapPoles winGames
All maps47% (44 to 49)197
Arabia47% (43 to 51) · even35
Arena45% (42 to 48)12
Black Forest47% (43 to 51) · even11
Nomad45% (41 to 49)estimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

Poles win more in long games: 35% at under 20 min, 50% at 55 min or more.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min23 games20 to 30 min25 games30 to 40 min49 games40 to 55 min68 games55 min or more32 games
under 20 min: Poles win 35% (31 to 38), 23 games20 to 30 min: Poles win 41% (36 to 46), 25 games30 to 40 min: Poles win 46% (42 to 50), 49 games40 to 55 min: Poles win 51% (47 to 55) (even), 68 games55 min or more: Poles win 50% (46 to 54) (even), 32 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.