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Bulgarians vs Hindustanis

Bulgarians win 51% (49 to 54) (even); Hindustanis, 49%.

400 1v1 games between the two civs. How Hindustanis do against everyone

By map

MapBulgarians winGames
All maps51% (49 to 54) · even400
Arabia52% (49 to 55) · even103
Arena49% (45 to 54) · even20
Black Forest51% (46 to 55) · even23
Nomad53% (49 to 56) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

Bulgarians win more in short games: 64% at under 20 min, 47% at 55 min or more.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min39 games20 to 30 min70 games30 to 40 min91 games40 to 55 min122 games55 min or more78 games
under 20 min: Bulgarians win 64% (60 to 67), 39 games20 to 30 min: Bulgarians win 56% (54 to 58), 70 games30 to 40 min: Bulgarians win 49% (45 to 52) (even), 91 games40 to 55 min: Bulgarians win 50% (47 to 54) (even), 122 games55 min or more: Bulgarians win 47% (43 to 51) (even), 78 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.