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Bulgarians: how they do against each civ

The chance of Bulgarians winning against each rival at equal Elo, in real ranked games, with a likely range and how many games are behind it. Tap a rival to see the matchup by map and by game length.

In 1v1

RivalBulgarians winGames
Koreans55% (52 to 57)223
Maya54% (51 to 56)203
Cumans53% (51 to 56)516
Saracens53% (51 to 56)605
Japanese53% (51 to 55)778
Aztecs53% (51 to 55)1,238
Burmese53% (50 to 55)419
Mongols52% (50 to 55) · even452
Portuguese52% (50 to 54)785
Dravidians52% (49 to 55) · even279
Vikings52% (50 to 54) · even563
Mapuche52% (49 to 54) · even144
Burgundians51% (49 to 54) · even300
Hindustanis51% (49 to 54) · even400
Persians51% (49 to 54) · even190
Berbers51% (49 to 53) · even1,079
Romans51% (49 to 53) · even912
Shu51% (49 to 54) · even134
Bengalis51% (49 to 53) · even562
Goths51% (49 to 53) · even316
Poles51% (49 to 54) · even259
Muisca51% (48 to 55) · even146
Wu51% (48 to 54) · even391
Spanish51% (49 to 53) · even643
Tatars51% (48 to 54) · even358
Vietnamese51% (49 to 53) · even1,557
Byzantines51% (48 to 53) · even580
Ethiopians51% (48 to 53) · even356
Britons51% (48 to 53) · even350
Malians51% (49 to 53) · even635
Khitans51% (47 to 54) · even129
Magyars50% (48 to 53) · even356
Huns50% (48 to 53) · even420
Franks50% (48 to 52) · even203
Bohemians50% (48 to 52) · even780
Turks50% (47 to 53) · even387
Jurchens50% (48 to 52) · even234
Celts50% (47 to 52) · even194
Sicilians50% (47 to 52) · even395
Tupi49% (47 to 52) · even134
Wei49% (47 to 52) · even202
Gurjaras49% (47 to 52) · even498
Khmer49% (46 to 52) · even303
Teutons49% (46 to 51) · even445
Italians48% (46 to 50) · even581
Malay48% (46 to 51) · even293
Slavs48% (46 to 50) · even710
Chinese48% (45 to 50) · even478
Georgians47% (45 to 50)291
Inca47% (45 to 50)441
Armenians47% (44 to 50)346
Lithuanians46% (44 to 49)479

In team games

The chance of a team with Bulgarians instead of an average civ, at equal Elo. Team games count appearances of the civ (each player), not games.

MapWinAppearances
All maps52% (51 to 52)41,983
Arabia52% (51 to 53)2,872
Arena52% (51 to 52)4,074
Black Forest52% (51 to 53)3,019
Nomad52% (51 to 53)2,621

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.