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Bulgarians vs Vikings

Bulgarians win 52% (50 to 54) (even); Vikings, 48%.

563 1v1 games between the two civs. How Vikings do against everyone

By map

MapBulgarians winGames
All maps52% (50 to 54) · even563
Arabia52% (50 to 55) · even147
Arena52% (47 to 56) · even42
Black Forest53% (49 to 56) · even21
Nomad53% (50 to 56) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

Bulgarians win more in short games: 63% at under 20 min, 48% at 55 min or more.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min63 games20 to 30 min72 games30 to 40 min112 games40 to 55 min206 games55 min or more110 games
under 20 min: Bulgarians win 63% (59 to 67), 63 games20 to 30 min: Bulgarians win 55% (52 to 58), 72 games30 to 40 min: Bulgarians win 52% (48 to 55) (even), 112 games40 to 55 min: Bulgarians win 50% (47 to 53) (even), 206 games55 min or more: Bulgarians win 48% (44 to 51) (even), 110 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.