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Italians vs Tatars

Italians win 51% (48 to 55) (even); Tatars, 49%.

227 1v1 games between the two civs. How Tatars do against everyone

By map

MapItalians winGames
All maps51% (48 to 55) · even227
Arabia52% (48 to 55) · even30
Arena48% (44 to 53) · even17
Black Forest50% (45 to 54) · even18
Nomad52% (47 to 58) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

Italians win more in short games: 59% at under 20 min, 46% at 55 min or more.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min13 games20 to 30 min31 games30 to 40 min48 games40 to 55 min86 games55 min or more49 games
under 20 min: Italians win 59% (55 to 64), 13 games20 to 30 min: Italians win 60% (55 to 64), 31 games30 to 40 min: Italians win 50% (45 to 54) (even), 48 games40 to 55 min: Italians win 50% (46 to 54) (even), 86 games55 min or more: Italians win 46% (43 to 50), 49 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.