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Persians vs Saracens

Persians win 54% (52 to 57); Saracens, 46%.

125 1v1 games between the two civs. How Saracens do against everyone

By map

MapPersians winGames
All maps54% (52 to 57)125
Arabia53% (50 to 56)25
Arena56% (52 to 60)6
Black Forest54% (51 to 57)15
Nomad56% (52 to 59)estimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

Persians win more in short games: 61% at under 20 min, 50% at 55 min or more.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min9 games20 to 30 min17 games30 to 40 min29 games40 to 55 min41 games55 min or more29 games
under 20 min: Persians win 61% (55 to 66), 9 games20 to 30 min: Persians win 65% (61 to 70), 17 games30 to 40 min: Persians win 55% (51 to 59), 29 games40 to 55 min: Persians win 50% (46 to 53) (even), 41 games55 min or more: Persians win 50% (46 to 54) (even), 29 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.