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Romans: how they do against each civ

The chance of Romans winning against each rival at equal Elo, in real ranked games, with a likely range and how many games are behind it. Tap a rival to see the matchup by map and by game length.

In 1v1

RivalRomans winGames
Saracens53% (51 to 56)626
Japanese52% (51 to 54)727
Koreans52% (50 to 55) · even230
Maya52% (50 to 55) · even187
Dravidians51% (49 to 53) · even325
Magyars51% (48 to 54) · even374
Bengalis51% (49 to 53) · even516
Ethiopians51% (48 to 53) · even321
Spanish51% (49 to 52) · even738
Mongols51% (49 to 52) · even420
Shu51% (48 to 53) · even141
Wu51% (48 to 53) · even397
Britons50% (47 to 53) · even322
Byzantines50% (48 to 51) · even551
Vikings50% (48 to 52) · even552
Burgundians50% (47 to 52) · even319
Malians49% (46 to 53) · even606
Celts49% (47 to 52) · even167
Franks49% (46 to 52) · even200
Vietnamese49% (48 to 50) · even1,618
Hindustanis49% (46 to 52) · even460
Muisca49% (46 to 52) · even159
Bulgarians49% (47 to 51) · even912
Burmese49% (46 to 52) · even467
Persians49% (47 to 51) · even188
Goths49% (46 to 51) · even329
Slavs49% (47 to 51) · even683
Khitans49% (46 to 51) · even137
Poles49% (46 to 51) · even278
Mapuche48% (46 to 51) · even146
Cumans48% (47 to 50) · even502
Aztecs48% (46 to 50)1,417
Khmer48% (46 to 50) · even273
Sicilians48% (46 to 50)376
Berbers48% (46 to 50) · even1,176
Bohemians48% (46 to 50)811
Jurchens48% (44 to 51) · even222
Portuguese48% (46 to 50)753
Armenians47% (44 to 50) · even373
Wei47% (44 to 50) · even187
Tatars47% (44 to 50)374
Turks47% (45 to 49)366
Malay47% (45 to 49)303
Teutons47% (45 to 49)430
Georgians47% (45 to 48)322
Gurjaras47% (44 to 49)428
Huns47% (44 to 49)452
Tupi46% (44 to 49)163
Italians46% (44 to 49)635
Inca46% (43 to 49)450
Chinese46% (43 to 48)473
Lithuanians44% (41 to 46)491

In team games

The chance of a team with Romans instead of an average civ, at equal Elo. Team games count appearances of the civ (each player), not games.

MapWinAppearances
All maps48% (47 to 49)27,812
Arabia48% (47 to 49)2,227
Arena48% (47 to 49)2,409
Black Forest48% (47 to 49)1,616
Nomad48% (47 to 49)2,050

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.