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Chinese vs Romans

Chinese win 54% (52 to 57); Romans, 46%.

473 1v1 games between the two civs. How Romans do against everyone

By map

MapChinese winGames
All maps54% (52 to 57)473
Arabia52% (49 to 55) · even106
Arena56% (53 to 59)29
Black Forest55% (52 to 58)34
Nomad55% (49 to 61) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

Chinese win more in short games: 61% at under 20 min, 48% at 55 min or more.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min47 games20 to 30 min63 games30 to 40 min112 games40 to 55 min147 games55 min or more104 games
under 20 min: Chinese win 61% (57 to 65), 47 games20 to 30 min: Chinese win 60% (56 to 64), 63 games30 to 40 min: Chinese win 56% (54 to 59), 112 games40 to 55 min: Chinese win 52% (48 to 55) (even), 147 games55 min or more: Chinese win 48% (44 to 52) (even), 104 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.