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Shu vs Slavs

Shu win 46% (44 to 48); Slavs, 54%.

98 1v1 games between the two civs. How Slavs do against everyone

By map

MapShu winGames
All maps46% (44 to 48)98
Arabia48% (44 to 52) · even15
Arena46% (43 to 50) · even10
Black Forest46% (43 to 50) · even5
Nomad46% (41 to 51) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

Shu win more in long games: 39% at under 20 min, 49% at 55 min or more.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min9 games20 to 30 min18 games30 to 40 min20 games40 to 55 min40 games55 min or more11 games
under 20 min: Shu win 39% (34 to 43), 9 games20 to 30 min: Shu win 49% (45 to 53) (even), 18 games30 to 40 min: Shu win 44% (41 to 47), 20 games40 to 55 min: Shu win 47% (43 to 52) (even), 40 games55 min or more: Shu win 49% (45 to 53) (even), 11 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.