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Armenians vs Malians

Armenians win 55% (52 to 57); Malians, 45%.

218 1v1 games between the two civs. How Malians do against everyone

By map

MapArmenians winGames
All maps55% (52 to 57)218
Arabia55% (53 to 58)46
Arena56% (51 to 60)10
Black Forest54% (52 to 57)16
Nomad54% (49 to 59) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

No clear difference by game length.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min21 games20 to 30 min27 games30 to 40 min48 games40 to 55 min82 games55 min or more40 games
under 20 min: Armenians win 47% (42 to 51) (even), 21 games20 to 30 min: Armenians win 57% (51 to 63), 27 games30 to 40 min: Armenians win 60% (56 to 63), 48 games40 to 55 min: Armenians win 56% (53 to 58), 82 games55 min or more: Armenians win 49% (45 to 53) (even), 40 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.