Malians: how they do against each civ
The chance of Malians winning against each rival at equal Elo, in real ranked games, with a likely range and how many games are behind it. Tap a rival to see the matchup by map and by game length.
In 1v1
| Rival | Malians win | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Japanese | 53% (52 to 55) | 545 |
| Maya | 53% (50 to 56) | 110 |
| Saracens | 53% (51 to 55) | 359 |
| Koreans | 52% (50 to 55) · even | 138 |
| Portuguese | 52% (49 to 54) · even | 481 |
| Mongols | 51% (49 to 54) · even | 329 |
| Wu | 51% (49 to 54) · even | 243 |
| Goths | 51% (49 to 54) · even | 235 |
| Aztecs | 51% (49 to 52) · even | 923 |
| Ethiopians | 51% (48 to 53) · even | 213 |
| Romans | 51% (48 to 54) · even | 606 |
| Vikings | 51% (49 to 52) · even | 332 |
| Tatars | 50% (48 to 53) · even | 277 |
| Mapuche | 50% (48 to 53) · even | 112 |
| Burmese | 50% (47 to 53) · even | 254 |
| Shu | 50% (48 to 53) · even | 77 |
| Burgundians | 50% (47 to 53) · even | 213 |
| Muisca | 50% (48 to 52) · even | 97 |
| Cumans | 50% (47 to 53) · even | 342 |
| Khitans | 50% (47 to 53) · even | 83 |
| Spanish | 50% (47 to 52) · even | 463 |
| Vietnamese | 50% (48 to 52) · even | 962 |
| Bengalis | 50% (47 to 53) · even | 414 |
| Britons | 50% (47 to 52) · even | 219 |
| Huns | 50% (47 to 52) · even | 313 |
| Poles | 50% (47 to 52) · even | 173 |
| Berbers | 50% (48 to 52) · even | 753 |
| Dravidians | 50% (47 to 52) · even | 224 |
| Bulgarians | 49% (48 to 51) · even | 635 |
| Byzantines | 49% (47 to 52) · even | 391 |
| Franks | 49% (47 to 52) · even | 118 |
| Hindustanis | 49% (46 to 52) · even | 254 |
| Persians | 49% (46 to 52) · even | 139 |
| Celts | 49% (46 to 51) · even | 127 |
| Turks | 49% (46 to 51) · even | 274 |
| Magyars | 48% (46 to 51) · even | 256 |
| Tupi | 48% (45 to 51) · even | 103 |
| Khmer | 48% (46 to 51) · even | 184 |
| Gurjaras | 48% (45 to 50) · even | 354 |
| Malay | 48% (45 to 51) · even | 192 |
| Teutons | 48% (45 to 50) | 334 |
| Inca | 47% (45 to 50) · even | 311 |
| Bohemians | 47% (44 to 50) · even | 590 |
| Sicilians | 47% (45 to 49) | 257 |
| Wei | 47% (43 to 51) · even | 118 |
| Italians | 47% (45 to 48) | 399 |
| Georgians | 46% (44 to 49) | 219 |
| Chinese | 46% (44 to 49) | 290 |
| Jurchens | 46% (44 to 49) | 156 |
| Slavs | 46% (43 to 48) | 458 |
| Armenians | 45% (43 to 48) | 218 |
| Lithuanians | 43% (41 to 46) | 293 |
In team games
The chance of a team with Malians instead of an average civ, at equal Elo. Team games count appearances of the civ (each player), not games.
| Map | Win | Appearances |
|---|---|---|
| All maps | 50% (49 to 51) · even | 16,435 |
| Arabia | 50% (49 to 51) · even | 1,155 |
| Arena | 50% (49 to 51) · even | 1,601 |
| Black Forest | 50% (49 to 51) · even | 1,076 |
| Nomad | 50% (49 to 51) · even | 1,033 |
How it's calculated
- Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
- First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
- A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
- The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
- Length is in minutes of the game's clock.
Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.