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Malians vs Tupi

Malians win 48% (45 to 51) (even); Tupi, 52%.

103 1v1 games between the two civs. How Tupi do against everyone

By map

MapMalians winGames
All maps48% (45 to 51) · even103
Arabia48% (44 to 51) · even29
Arena47% (42 to 52) · even11
Black Forest47% (44 to 51) · even7
Nomad48% (44 to 53) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

No clear difference by game length.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min6 games20 to 30 min13 games30 to 40 min16 games40 to 55 min47 games55 min or more21 games
under 20 min: Malians win 57% (52 to 63), 6 games20 to 30 min: Malians win 44% (38 to 49), 13 games30 to 40 min: Malians win 45% (40 to 50), 16 games40 to 55 min: Malians win 48% (44 to 52) (even), 47 games55 min or more: Malians win 51% (46 to 56) (even), 21 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.