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Berbers vs Inca

Berbers win 46% (43 to 49); Inca, 54%.

532 1v1 games between the two civs. How Inca do against everyone

By map

MapBerbers winGames
All maps46% (43 to 49)532
Arabia46% (43 to 48)132
Arena45% (41 to 48)29
Black Forest48% (45 to 51) · even16
Nomad48% (43 to 52) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

No clear difference by game length.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min39 games20 to 30 min64 games30 to 40 min111 games40 to 55 min210 games55 min or more108 games
under 20 min: Berbers win 50% (45 to 55) (even), 39 games20 to 30 min: Berbers win 48% (44 to 53) (even), 64 games30 to 40 min: Berbers win 46% (42 to 50), 111 games40 to 55 min: Berbers win 41% (38 to 44), 210 games55 min or more: Berbers win 54% (50 to 57) (even), 108 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.