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Burgundians vs Lithuanians

Burgundians win 44% (40 to 47); Lithuanians, 56%.

170 1v1 games between the two civs. How Lithuanians do against everyone

By map

MapBurgundians winGames
All maps44% (40 to 47)170
Arabia43% (39 to 46)35
Arena45% (41 to 50)10
Black Forest43% (39 to 48)12
Nomad43% (37 to 48)estimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

No clear difference by game length.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min22 games20 to 30 min31 games30 to 40 min23 games40 to 55 min66 games55 min or more28 games
under 20 min: Burgundians win 37% (33 to 41), 22 games20 to 30 min: Burgundians win 41% (37 to 45), 31 games30 to 40 min: Burgundians win 43% (38 to 48), 23 games40 to 55 min: Burgundians win 46% (43 to 50), 66 games55 min or more: Burgundians win 45% (41 to 50) (even), 28 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.