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Byzantines vs Sicilians

Byzantines win 48% (46 to 51) (even); Sicilians, 52%.

263 1v1 games between the two civs. How Sicilians do against everyone

By map

MapByzantines winGames
All maps48% (46 to 51) · even263
Arabia49% (45 to 53) · even37
Arena48% (44 to 51) · even25
Black Forest48% (44 to 52) · even20
Nomad46% (41 to 51) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

Byzantines win more in long games: 34% at under 20 min, 50% at 55 min or more.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min25 games20 to 30 min51 games30 to 40 min49 games40 to 55 min89 games55 min or more49 games
under 20 min: Byzantines win 34% (31 to 37), 25 games20 to 30 min: Byzantines win 40% (35 to 44), 51 games30 to 40 min: Byzantines win 49% (46 to 52) (even), 49 games40 to 55 min: Byzantines win 54% (51 to 56), 89 games55 min or more: Byzantines win 50% (46 to 54) (even), 49 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.