AoE2 BO Coach
…

Celts vs Tupi

Celts win 50% (47 to 53) (even); Tupi, 50%.

31 1v1 games between the two civs. How Tupi do against everyone

By map

MapCelts winGames
All maps50% (47 to 53) · even31
Arabia50% (46 to 54) · even5
Arena50% (46 to 55) · even1
Black Forest50% (46 to 54) · even4
Nomad51% (48 to 55) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

No clear difference by game length.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 minno games20 to 30 min3 games30 to 40 min6 games40 to 55 min15 games55 min or more7 games
under 20 min: Celts win 61% (55 to 66), estimated (no games)20 to 30 min: Celts win 50% (44 to 57) (even), 3 games30 to 40 min: Celts win 44% (41 to 48), 6 games40 to 55 min: Celts win 50% (46 to 55) (even), 15 games55 min or more: Celts win 50% (46 to 55) (even), 7 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.