Chinese vs Ethiopians
Chinese win 56% (53 to 58); Ethiopians, 44%.
175 1v1 games between the two civs. How Ethiopians do against everyone
By map
| Map | Chinese win | Games |
|---|---|---|
| All maps | 56% (53 to 58) | 175 |
| Arabia | 53% (50 to 56) · even | 29 |
| Arena | 56% (52 to 61) | 16 |
| Black Forest | 56% (53 to 59) | 8 |
| Nomad | 55% (52 to 58) | estimated |
By game length
This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).
Chinese win more in short games: 62% at under 20 min, 52% at 55 min or more.
How it's calculated
- Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
- First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
- A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
- The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
- Length is in minutes of the game's clock.
Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.