Ethiopians: how they do against each civ
The chance of Ethiopians winning against each rival at equal Elo, in real ranked games, with a likely range and how many games are behind it. Tap a rival to see the matchup by map and by game length.
In 1v1
| Rival | Ethiopians win | Games |
|---|---|---|
| Saracens | 53% (50 to 56) | 211 |
| Koreans | 53% (50 to 55) · even | 97 |
| Japanese | 52% (50 to 55) · even | 243 |
| Maya | 52% (50 to 54) · even | 80 |
| Burgundians | 50% (47 to 54) · even | 140 |
| Dravidians | 50% (48 to 53) · even | 108 |
| Mongols | 50% (48 to 52) · even | 166 |
| Vikings | 50% (48 to 53) · even | 191 |
| Goths | 50% (47 to 52) · even | 139 |
| Burmese | 50% (47 to 53) · even | 172 |
| Cumans | 50% (47 to 52) · even | 180 |
| Wu | 50% (48 to 52) · even | 130 |
| Aztecs | 49% (46 to 52) · even | 373 |
| Malians | 49% (47 to 52) · even | 213 |
| Mapuche | 49% (47 to 52) · even | 48 |
| Romans | 49% (47 to 52) · even | 321 |
| Vietnamese | 49% (47 to 52) · even | 562 |
| Bengalis | 49% (47 to 52) · even | 220 |
| Bulgarians | 49% (47 to 52) · even | 356 |
| Muisca | 49% (46 to 52) · even | 61 |
| Persians | 49% (46 to 53) · even | 78 |
| Spanish | 49% (46 to 52) · even | 232 |
| Khitans | 49% (46 to 52) · even | 57 |
| Shu | 49% (46 to 52) · even | 52 |
| Hindustanis | 49% (46 to 51) · even | 173 |
| Poles | 49% (46 to 51) · even | 112 |
| Franks | 49% (46 to 52) · even | 66 |
| Tatars | 49% (46 to 51) · even | 167 |
| Portuguese | 49% (46 to 51) · even | 264 |
| Magyars | 49% (46 to 51) · even | 158 |
| Britons | 48% (45 to 52) · even | 140 |
| Jurchens | 48% (45 to 52) · even | 72 |
| Bohemians | 48% (46 to 51) · even | 274 |
| Celts | 48% (46 to 51) · even | 81 |
| Berbers | 48% (46 to 50) · even | 380 |
| Byzantines | 48% (46 to 50) · even | 190 |
| Teutons | 48% (45 to 51) · even | 206 |
| Huns | 48% (46 to 50) · even | 161 |
| Tupi | 48% (45 to 51) · even | 59 |
| Turks | 48% (45 to 51) · even | 136 |
| Malay | 48% (45 to 50) · even | 148 |
| Inca | 47% (45 to 50) | 169 |
| Sicilians | 47% (44 to 51) · even | 155 |
| Georgians | 47% (44 to 50) | 137 |
| Khmer | 47% (45 to 49) | 109 |
| Italians | 47% (44 to 50) | 229 |
| Wei | 47% (44 to 50) · even | 76 |
| Gurjaras | 46% (44 to 49) | 193 |
| Slavs | 46% (43 to 49) | 246 |
| Armenians | 46% (43 to 48) | 137 |
| Chinese | 45% (42 to 47) | 175 |
| Lithuanians | 43% (41 to 45) | 177 |
In team games
The chance of a team with Ethiopians instead of an average civ, at equal Elo. Team games count appearances of the civ (each player), not games.
| Map | Win | Appearances |
|---|---|---|
| All maps | 50% (50 to 51) · even | 15,406 |
| Arabia | 50% (49 to 51) · even | 958 |
| Arena | 50% (49 to 51) · even | 1,376 |
| Black Forest | 50% (49 to 51) · even | 916 |
| Nomad | 50% (49 to 51) · even | 1,241 |
How it's calculated
- Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
- First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
- A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
- The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
- Length is in minutes of the game's clock.
Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.