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Chinese vs Gurjaras

Chinese win 52% (49 to 55) (even); Gurjaras, 48%.

270 1v1 games between the two civs. How Gurjaras do against everyone

By map

MapChinese winGames
All maps52% (49 to 55) · even270
Arabia52% (49 to 55) · even40
Arena50% (46 to 54) · even26
Black Forest50% (47 to 54) · even29
Nomad53% (47 to 59) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

Chinese win more in short games: 69% at under 20 min, 49% at 55 min or more.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min26 games20 to 30 min56 games30 to 40 min59 games40 to 55 min78 games55 min or more51 games
under 20 min: Chinese win 69% (65 to 73), 26 games20 to 30 min: Chinese win 56% (53 to 59), 56 games30 to 40 min: Chinese win 43% (40 to 47), 59 games40 to 55 min: Chinese win 52% (48 to 56) (even), 78 games55 min or more: Chinese win 49% (45 to 54) (even), 51 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.