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Chinese vs Saracens

Chinese win 58% (55 to 60); Saracens, 42%.

309 1v1 games between the two civs. How Saracens do against everyone

By map

MapChinese winGames
All maps58% (55 to 60)309
Arabia55% (53 to 57)68
Arena60% (56 to 63)19
Black Forest56% (52 to 61)23
Nomad58% (53 to 63)estimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

Chinese win more in short games: 67% at under 20 min, 52% at 55 min or more.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min29 games20 to 30 min48 games30 to 40 min67 games40 to 55 min102 games55 min or more63 games
under 20 min: Chinese win 67% (62 to 72), 29 games20 to 30 min: Chinese win 66% (62 to 71), 48 games30 to 40 min: Chinese win 58% (55 to 61), 67 games40 to 55 min: Chinese win 54% (51 to 57), 102 games55 min or more: Chinese win 52% (49 to 56) (even), 63 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.