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Cumans vs Vietnamese

Cumans win 49% (48 to 51) (even); Vietnamese, 51%.

747 1v1 games between the two civs. How Vietnamese do against everyone

By map

MapCumans winGames
All maps49% (48 to 51) · even747
Arabia49% (46 to 52) · even146
Arena51% (47 to 55) · even68
Black Forest53% (49 to 56) · even48
Nomad49% (46 to 52) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

Cumans win more in long games: 36% at under 20 min, 52% at 55 min or more.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min65 games20 to 30 min136 games30 to 40 min176 games40 to 55 min224 games55 min or more146 games
under 20 min: Cumans win 36% (32 to 39), 65 games20 to 30 min: Cumans win 52% (48 to 55) (even), 136 games30 to 40 min: Cumans win 51% (48 to 54) (even), 176 games40 to 55 min: Cumans win 49% (47 to 52) (even), 224 games55 min or more: Cumans win 52% (48 to 55) (even), 146 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.