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Goths vs Teutons

Goths win 49% (46 to 51) (even); Teutons, 51%.

163 1v1 games between the two civs. How Teutons do against everyone

By map

MapGoths winGames
All maps49% (46 to 51) · even163
Arabia49% (46 to 52) · even29
Arena47% (44 to 50) · even16
Black Forest46% (42 to 51) · even15
Nomad49% (43 to 54) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

No clear difference by game length.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min14 games20 to 30 min18 games30 to 40 min33 games40 to 55 min62 games55 min or more36 games
under 20 min: Goths win 51% (45 to 57) (even), 14 games20 to 30 min: Goths win 51% (47 to 55) (even), 18 games30 to 40 min: Goths win 48% (44 to 52) (even), 33 games40 to 55 min: Goths win 46% (43 to 50), 62 games55 min or more: Goths win 51% (48 to 54) (even), 36 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.