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Goths vs Vietnamese

Goths win 49% (47 to 52) (even); Vietnamese, 51%.

550 1v1 games between the two civs. How Vietnamese do against everyone

By map

MapGoths winGames
All maps49% (47 to 52) · even550
Arabia49% (46 to 52) · even119
Arena50% (47 to 53) · even26
Black Forest49% (46 to 53) · even25
Nomad47% (45 to 50)estimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

Goths win more in long games: 34% at under 20 min, 50% at 55 min or more.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min54 games20 to 30 min79 games30 to 40 min97 games40 to 55 min209 games55 min or more111 games
under 20 min: Goths win 34% (29 to 38), 54 games20 to 30 min: Goths win 47% (43 to 51) (even), 79 games30 to 40 min: Goths win 53% (49 to 57) (even), 97 games40 to 55 min: Goths win 52% (49 to 55) (even), 209 games55 min or more: Goths win 50% (47 to 53) (even), 111 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.