AoE2 BO Coach
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Inca vs Japanese

Inca win 54% (52 to 55); Japanese, 46%.

329 1v1 games between the two civs. How Japanese do against everyone

By map

MapInca winGames
All maps54% (52 to 55)329
Arabia54% (52 to 57)72
Arena55% (53 to 58)30
Black Forest53% (49 to 56) · even21
Nomad53% (49 to 58) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

No clear difference by game length.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min29 games20 to 30 min37 games30 to 40 min74 games40 to 55 min124 games55 min or more65 games
under 20 min: Inca win 51% (46 to 55) (even), 29 games20 to 30 min: Inca win 55% (52 to 58), 37 games30 to 40 min: Inca win 55% (52 to 58), 74 games40 to 55 min: Inca win 55% (53 to 58), 124 games55 min or more: Inca win 50% (48 to 53) (even), 65 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.