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Inca vs Slavs

Inca win 48% (45 to 50) (even); Slavs, 52%.

325 1v1 games between the two civs. How Slavs do against everyone

By map

MapInca winGames
All maps48% (45 to 50) · even325
Arabia49% (45 to 52) · even70
Arena48% (44 to 53) · even19
Black Forest48% (44 to 52) · even14
Nomad47% (42 to 51) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

Inca win more in long games: 36% at under 20 min, 50% at 55 min or more.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min35 games20 to 30 min57 games30 to 40 min65 games40 to 55 min108 games55 min or more60 games
under 20 min: Inca win 36% (33 to 40), 35 games20 to 30 min: Inca win 43% (40 to 47), 57 games30 to 40 min: Inca win 45% (41 to 49), 65 games40 to 55 min: Inca win 54% (50 to 57), 108 games55 min or more: Inca win 50% (46 to 53) (even), 60 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.