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Japanese vs Turks

Japanese win 46% (43 to 49); Turks, 54%.

385 1v1 games between the two civs. How Turks do against everyone

By map

MapJapanese winGames
All maps46% (43 to 49)385
Arabia46% (42 to 49)49
Arena45% (42 to 48)44
Black Forest46% (42 to 50)34
Nomad45% (41 to 50) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

Japanese win more in long games: 42% at under 20 min, 52% at 55 min or more.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min28 games20 to 30 min54 games30 to 40 min77 games40 to 55 min127 games55 min or more99 games
under 20 min: Japanese win 42% (36 to 47), 28 games20 to 30 min: Japanese win 40% (36 to 45), 54 games30 to 40 min: Japanese win 43% (39 to 47), 77 games40 to 55 min: Japanese win 49% (45 to 52) (even), 127 games55 min or more: Japanese win 52% (48 to 57) (even), 99 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.