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Lithuanians vs Turks

Lithuanians win 54% (51 to 57); Turks, 46%.

204 1v1 games between the two civs. How Turks do against everyone

By map

MapLithuanians winGames
All maps54% (51 to 57)204
Arabia54% (50 to 59)38
Arena53% (49 to 57) · even17
Black Forest54% (49 to 58) · even16
Nomad54% (49 to 59) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

No clear difference by game length.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min16 games20 to 30 min48 games30 to 40 min41 games40 to 55 min64 games55 min or more35 games
under 20 min: Lithuanians win 57% (53 to 60), 16 games20 to 30 min: Lithuanians win 55% (51 to 60), 48 games30 to 40 min: Lithuanians win 54% (51 to 57), 41 games40 to 55 min: Lithuanians win 53% (48 to 57) (even), 64 games55 min or more: Lithuanians win 56% (52 to 59), 35 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.