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Lithuanians vs Vikings

Lithuanians win 55% (54 to 57); Vikings, 45%.

245 1v1 games between the two civs. How Vikings do against everyone

By map

MapLithuanians winGames
All maps55% (54 to 57)245
Arabia56% (54 to 58)67
Arena56% (53 to 59)18
Black Forest57% (53 to 60)12
Nomad57% (52 to 63)estimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

Lithuanians win more in short games: 68% at under 20 min, 50% at 55 min or more.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min25 games20 to 30 min46 games30 to 40 min58 games40 to 55 min79 games55 min or more37 games
under 20 min: Lithuanians win 68% (64 to 72), 25 games20 to 30 min: Lithuanians win 62% (58 to 66), 46 games30 to 40 min: Lithuanians win 57% (55 to 60), 58 games40 to 55 min: Lithuanians win 50% (48 to 53) (even), 79 games55 min or more: Lithuanians win 50% (48 to 53) (even), 37 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.