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Malay vs Maya

Malay win 54% (51 to 57); Maya, 46%.

74 1v1 games between the two civs. How Maya do against everyone

By map

MapMalay winGames
All maps54% (51 to 57)74
Arabia54% (51 to 57)14
Arena55% (51 to 60)7
Black Forest55% (50 to 59)4
Nomad54% (49 to 59) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

No clear difference by game length.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min8 games20 to 30 min9 games30 to 40 min19 games40 to 55 min23 games55 min or more15 games
under 20 min: Malay win 51% (45 to 56) (even), 8 games20 to 30 min: Malay win 62% (59 to 65), 9 games30 to 40 min: Malay win 56% (51 to 60), 19 games40 to 55 min: Malay win 53% (49 to 57) (even), 23 games55 min or more: Malay win 50% (47 to 54) (even), 15 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.