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Malay vs Saracens

Malay win 56% (53 to 58); Saracens, 44%.

189 1v1 games between the two civs. How Saracens do against everyone

By map

MapMalay winGames
All maps56% (53 to 58)189
Arabia54% (51 to 57)36
Arena57% (54 to 61)19
Black Forest54% (52 to 57)13
Nomad56% (52 to 60)estimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

No clear difference by game length.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min15 games20 to 30 min31 games30 to 40 min32 games40 to 55 min69 games55 min or more42 games
under 20 min: Malay win 59% (54 to 64), 15 games20 to 30 min: Malay win 65% (62 to 69), 31 games30 to 40 min: Malay win 58% (54 to 61), 32 games40 to 55 min: Malay win 51% (48 to 55) (even), 69 games55 min or more: Malay win 52% (49 to 55) (even), 42 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.