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Malay vs Wu

Malay win 53% (50 to 55) (even); Wu, 47%.

153 1v1 games between the two civs. How Wu do against everyone

By map

MapMalay winGames
All maps53% (50 to 55) · even153
Arabia51% (47 to 55) · even45
Arena52% (48 to 56) · even13
Black Forest53% (49 to 57) · even2
Nomad55% (50 to 60) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

Malay win more in short games: 64% at under 20 min, 52% at 55 min or more.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min18 games20 to 30 min15 games30 to 40 min30 games40 to 55 min56 games55 min or more34 games
under 20 min: Malay win 64% (60 to 68), 18 games20 to 30 min: Malay win 64% (62 to 67), 15 games30 to 40 min: Malay win 50% (45 to 56) (even), 30 games40 to 55 min: Malay win 47% (43 to 51) (even), 56 games55 min or more: Malay win 52% (47 to 56) (even), 34 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.