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Maya vs Slavs

Maya win 45% (42 to 48); Slavs, 55%.

156 1v1 games between the two civs. How Slavs do against everyone

By map

MapMaya winGames
All maps45% (42 to 48)156
Arabia45% (42 to 49)37
Arena44% (40 to 49)10
Black Forest45% (40 to 50)3
Nomad44% (40 to 47)estimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

Maya win more in long games: 38% at under 20 min, 50% at 55 min or more.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min20 games20 to 30 min22 games30 to 40 min31 games40 to 55 min54 games55 min or more29 games
under 20 min: Maya win 38% (34 to 43), 20 games20 to 30 min: Maya win 36% (32 to 40), 22 games30 to 40 min: Maya win 43% (38 to 47), 31 games40 to 55 min: Maya win 48% (45 to 52) (even), 54 games55 min or more: Maya win 50% (45 to 55) (even), 29 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.