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Mongols: how they do against each civ

The chance of Mongols winning against each rival at equal Elo, in real ranked games, with a likely range and how many games are behind it. Tap a rival to see the matchup by map and by game length.

In 1v1

RivalMongols winGames
Saracens53% (51 to 55)288
Maya52% (49 to 55) · even106
Koreans52% (49 to 54) · even123
Japanese51% (49 to 54) · even363
Mapuche51% (48 to 53) · even72
Cumans50% (48 to 53) · even246
Aztecs50% (48 to 52) · even605
Byzantines50% (48 to 52) · even352
Ethiopians50% (48 to 52) · even166
Dravidians50% (47 to 52) · even164
Muisca50% (47 to 52) · even73
Romans50% (48 to 51) · even420
Britons49% (47 to 52) · even160
Shu49% (47 to 52) · even67
Vikings49% (47 to 52) · even221
Burgundians49% (46 to 52) · even151
Goths49% (47 to 52) · even137
Burmese49% (47 to 52) · even171
Portuguese49% (47 to 52) · even340
Hindustanis49% (47 to 52) · even179
Poles49% (46 to 52) · even155
Spanish49% (46 to 52) · even308
Khitans49% (46 to 51) · even59
Malians49% (46 to 51) · even329
Persians49% (46 to 51) · even108
Teutons49% (46 to 51) · even293
Wu49% (46 to 51) · even142
Franks49% (45 to 52) · even100
Huns48% (45 to 51) · even234
Turks48% (46 to 51) · even201
Tatars48% (45 to 51) · even204
Bulgarians48% (45 to 51) · even452
Celts48% (45 to 51) · even94
Gurjaras48% (46 to 50) · even312
Magyars48% (46 to 50)189
Bohemians48% (45 to 50) · even405
Vietnamese48% (46 to 50)598
Bengalis48% (45 to 50)313
Jurchens47% (44 to 51) · even80
Tupi47% (44 to 51) · even69
Wei47% (44 to 50) · even99
Khmer47% (44 to 50) · even149
Inca47% (44 to 50)213
Georgians46% (44 to 49)157
Berbers46% (44 to 48)445
Malay46% (44 to 49)134
Italians46% (44 to 48)292
Sicilians46% (43 to 49)176
Armenians45% (43 to 48)179
Slavs45% (43 to 48)264
Chinese45% (42 to 47)221
Lithuanians44% (42 to 46)198

In team games

The chance of a team with Mongols instead of an average civ, at equal Elo. Team games count appearances of the civ (each player), not games.

MapWinAppearances
All maps52% (51 to 53)19,781
Arabia52% (51 to 53)1,243
Arena52% (51 to 53)2,391
Black Forest52% (51 to 53)1,365
Nomad52% (51 to 53)1,034

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.