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Mongols vs Vietnamese

Mongols win 48% (46 to 50); Vietnamese, 52%.

598 1v1 games between the two civs. How Vietnamese do against everyone

By map

MapMongols winGames
All maps48% (46 to 50)598
Arabia48% (45 to 50) · even117
Arena51% (47 to 55) · even51
Black Forest48% (45 to 51) · even36
Nomad47% (44 to 50) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

No clear difference by game length.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min56 games20 to 30 min107 games30 to 40 min136 games40 to 55 min198 games55 min or more101 games
under 20 min: Mongols win 38% (35 to 41), 56 games20 to 30 min: Mongols win 44% (41 to 47), 107 games30 to 40 min: Mongols win 54% (50 to 58), 136 games40 to 55 min: Mongols win 51% (48 to 53) (even), 198 games55 min or more: Mongols win 43% (39 to 46), 101 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.