AoE2 BO Coach
…

Muisca vs Saracens

Muisca win 54% (51 to 57); Saracens, 46%.

77 1v1 games between the two civs. How Saracens do against everyone

By map

MapMuisca winGames
All maps54% (51 to 57)77
Arabia53% (49 to 58) · even20
Arena56% (52 to 60)3
Black Forest53% (49 to 58) · even3
Nomad54% (50 to 58) · evenestimated

By game length

This is what happened, not a recipe: game length is an outcome of the game (games decided early are short).

No clear difference by game length.

30 %40 %50 %60 %70 %under 20 min7 games20 to 30 min12 games30 to 40 min11 games40 to 55 min28 games55 min or more19 games
under 20 min: Muisca win 51% (46 to 57) (even), 7 games20 to 30 min: Muisca win 61% (56 to 66), 12 games30 to 40 min: Muisca win 52% (47 to 58) (even), 11 games40 to 55 min: Muisca win 51% (48 to 55) (even), 28 games55 min or more: Muisca win 56% (51 to 60), 19 games

How it's calculated

  • Ranked random-map games from the current patch, without mirrors or games under 5 in-game minutes.
  • First the players' Elo difference is removed, so what's left comes from the civs: chances are at equal Elo.
  • A model adds up the strength of each civ and each matchup by map, Elo band and length; whatever has few games stays close to the overall number, so a cell with 4 games doesn't make things up.
  • The range is where 90% of the likely values fall. It's even if it touches 50%, and for game length something is only claimed if the shortest and longest bands don't touch.
  • Length is in minutes of the game's clock.

Source: aoe2-guide, games from 2026-06-01 to 2026-07-03, patch Update 185872. 328,369 1v1 games and 162,421 team games.